If Ukraine holds out, it will be a signal to China – not to touch Taiwan – an American diplomat – Politics – tsn.ua



China is watching to see if Russia will succeed in the war against Ukraine. After all, the success of the Russian Federation will mean that open aggression is working, and the West is not opposing it. Then the PRC will get the green light to do whatever it wants with Taiwan.

As for the support of Ukraine from the United States, in the event of a complication of the situation with Taiwanthis support will not decrease and there are several reasons for this.

American diplomat, former special representative of the US State Department for Ukraine, Kurt Walker, said this in a conversation with Ukrainian journalists.

He explained that China is a long-term and significant threat to the United States. Regardless of the situation in Ukraine, the States should watch China. At the same time, according to Volker, China will not directly help Russia in the matter of the war in Ukraine.

“China is watching to see if Russia will succeed in the war against Ukraine. Because Russia’s success will mean that open aggression, seizing territory, changing power – it works. And the West does not oppose this. China will get the green light to do whatever they want with Taiwan , because the West does not stop them and does not prevent the change of regimes, the seizure of territories,” the American diplomat explained.

He noted if the invasion of the Russian Federation will have the opposite effect: will weaken the country, its regime, economy, and Ukraine will become a strong, democratic European state, then this will become a big lesson for China.

“For China, the situation with Ukraine is a little different. China perceives Ukraine as an independent state, a member of the UN, so it does not support Russia secretly. But in the case of Taiwan, the world community perceived it as a part of China that had autonomy. And it is important that China does not want to destroy Taiwan, as Russia is doing with Ukraine. They want a rich Taiwan, not a region that will be a problem for them. It is not beneficial for China to compare the situation with Taiwan to Ukraine, it gives us an opportunity to dialogue with China. Speaking of military ambitions to seize Taiwan, as I’ve said before, there’s a fear that such actions could backfire,” Volker explained.

Regarding the support of Ukraine from the US side, he noted that the States are not involved in the conflict in any way. The state provides weapons to Ukraine, not the army.

“So, if the situation with Taiwan gets complicated, then there will be no situation where the military is needed both here and there. This also applies to weapon types. In Taiwan, it is, first of all, the Navy, which uses a different type of weaponry. Ukraine needs HIMARS, and there it is completely different. I think that if you compare these conflicts, it is perceived very simplistically – either Ukraine or Taiwan. If Ukraine holds out, it will be a signal to China not to touch Taiwan,” said the former special representative of the US State Department on Ukraine.

The conversation with Kurt Walker took place thanks to the invitation of the American University “American University Kyiv” in Kyiv, which was created in partnership with Arizona State University (ASU).

It will be recalled that earlier the Ministry of Defense of the United States reported that China is building up its nuclear potential, increasing its arsenal of strategic weapons by 3-4 times.

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