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The Russian Federation is reassessing its capabilities in advancing in the Donbass – ISW

Posted on 01.02.2023

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The Russian Federation is reassessing its capabilities in advancing in the Donbass - ISW

Photo: Social networks

Donetsk Gauleiter Denys Pushylin

Western analysts believe that the latest statements of the invaders indicate a mistaken assessment of their own forces.

The occupiers are overestimating their ability to advance in the Donetsk region, as well as on the battlefield. This is stated in reports Institute for the Study of War (ISW).

Analysts noted that the so-called “head of the DPR” Denys Pushylin has recently made a large number of statements about the advancement of Russian forces in Donbas.

They believe he has lost touch with reality as he contemplates capturing Bakhmut, which would open the way to Kramatorsk and Slovyansk, located 40 kilometers to the northwest.

“The founder of the Communist Party of Ukraine, Wagner Yevgeny Prigozhin, previously claimed that the average speed of Russian advance around Bakhmut was about 100 meters per day, and it took Russian troops 8 months to advance from the occupied Popasnaya Luhansk Oblast and Svitlodarsk to the current positions in the Bakhmut area (a distance of 25 km and 22 km, respectively)”, – ISW experts explained.

Pushylin also hopes to capture Vugledar, which will allow Russian troops to launch offensive operations on Kurakhov, Maryinka, and Pokrovsk, despite the fact that Russian forces have not been able to capture Maryinka since March 17, 2022, when the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation erroneously reported the capture of the populated point

He claims that Russia will seize Avdiivka, but does not explain how the invaders will break through the almost nine-year-old Ukrainian fortifications around the settlement.

“Pushylin’s expectations regarding the hypothetical capture of Bakhmut further demonstrate that the Russians continue to face problems in accurately assessing the relationship between time and space, taking into account their military potential,” the ISW report summarizes.

It will be recalled that earlier Pushilin commented on Putin’s decision on the “Christmas truce” and stated that about the truce “can’t go”.


The enemy lost 500 people near Bakhmut in a day – ZSU



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