Kovalenko noted that in the offensive, the occupiers spend BC much more intensively, while logistics does not begin to work better.
Military and political observer Oleksandr Kovalenko stated that the Russian occupying forces continue to distill a resource near Kreminna of the Luhansk region, which they will obviously use in a new offensive. However, a lot of nuances await the invaders in the “epic offensive”.
As he noted in Telegramthe 331st and 217th PDP units of the 98th PDP, in addition to the already existing 104, 234 and 237 DSHP, 217 and 331 PDP units and the reserve 31st ODSHBr.
“In total, the biomass of the ROV (Russian occupation forces – ed.) is about 9,000 personnel. And at first glance, this is a very significant mass that can implement a successful offensive on the Lyman and not only. But, as always in such situations, there is a nuance. Well… like a nuance. Rather, nuances,” the expert added.
According to Kovalenko, the area from which the invaders can start their “epic” offensive has a specific soil. For the successful advance of troops, the ground must freeze. However, next week in this area, “plus drops are predicted, which will neutralize the effect of the frozen ground.”
“It is also interesting how in their “lemming rush” the ROV will solve the issue of the Veryginsky Forestry, a very unfavorable place for scumbags. And all because when they go there, scumbags of all kinds have every chance of never coming back. Because there are a lot of evil foresters. Well, you get it. In general, there are already at least 2 natural and landscape factors that can adversely affect the potential of even these almost 9 thousand “elite” chumps rushing into battle. And that’s without mentioning that from the south, Belogorivka and the chained front are pressing,” he stressed.
The expert added that “the Beilohoriv Springboard of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and the shackled Siver Front in the ROV should not be written off at all.” In his opinion, when the “Lyman reflection” ends, in one of these locations, and possibly in all of them, the defense of the Russian occupiers will crumble, especially when the enemy’s BC is exhausted.
“Speaking of BC, it should be recalled that in the offensive of the DOM, it is spent an order of magnitude more intensively, and logistics at the same time does not start to work better. That is, at a certain peak moment of the Limansky suicide, the DOM will be exhausted with all the ensuing consequences. It would be worth mentioning a couple of others nuances in this direction, but I do not consider it necessary. Let the occupiers, if they do decide to engage in demonstrative group suicide, have at least some surprises. Although, if they do not understand the obvious, then it will also be a surprise,” Kovalenko summarized.
The offensive of the Russian Federation: forecasts
Military expert, reserve colonel of the Armed Forces of Ukraine Roman Svitan believes that the Russian occupying forces will never be able to enter the administrative borders of Donetsk region. According to him, the occupation army of the Russian Federation does not have enough resources for a major offensive.
At the same time, the head of the Kharkiv Regional Military Administration, Oleg Sinegubov, said that the Russian occupiers can leave in the offensive in the Kharkiv region. The invaders are increasing their presence on the front lines.
Military expert Oleksandr Kovalenko predictsthat the Russian troops will go on the offensive in – at the beginning of March due to hopelessness and hysterical moods in the leadership of the Russian Federation itself.