According to General Malomuzha, Ukraine has 2-3 months to prepare for an attack by the Russian Federation.
The former head of the Foreign Intelligence Service, General of the Army of Ukraine Mykola Malomuzh commented on the information of foreign media that Russia is preparing to carry out a large-scale offensive in 10 days.
It informs FREEDOM.
In his opinion, it is necessary to prepare for a full-scale offensive of the Russian Federation from 4 to 6 months.
“Everyone is talking about an offensive literally in 10 days, on February 24, etc. But now Russia only sets local tasks, it cannot launch offensive operations for 2,600 km. It is simply impossible. Even half a million [військовослужбовців] if it was But they are not there. There aren’t even 300,000,” says Malomuzh.
According to him, Russia has only 30,000-40,000 soldiers who will face local tasks in Donbas. According to the ex-intelligence officer, to form reserves for re-offensive the occupiers will only be able to at the beginning of summer
To do this, they need to gather 250-300 thousand soldiers, repair equipment. Ago Ukraine has 2-3 monthsbelieves Malomuzh. The key for the defense of Ukraine, he calls the timely delivery of Western weapons and equipment during this time.
“I especially emphasize that the mass acquisition of ammunition: rockets, shells, mines, etc., which will be destroyed on the approaches, is the most effective fight against the enemy, with the reserves, when they are moving on trains, in columns, when they have not yet come to the front. These are very powerful blows , pressing, panic among those who are at the “front”. This is a prerequisite for their destruction and offensive operations… I will say clearly: exactly March-May is our time“, Malomuzh is convinced.
In his opinion, any delay will work against Ukraine, and the allies understand this. After all, in case of delay, Ukraine will find itself in a situation protracted war with great casualties.
Instead, the Armed Forces must form forces, conduct training and develop operations that will allow the transition from defense to offensive.
“In the east, maybe it will be Luhansk direction — strike on Luhansk and strikes from the rear on Donetsk direction and of course South. This can destroy the front and cause a shaft of their retreat. It movement to the Crimea“, concluded the former head of the Foreign Intelligence Service.
The new attack of the Russian Federation: what is known
Earlier, the Financial Times reported that Russia may launch a new large-scale offensive in the next 10 days.
According to Serhii Gaidai, the head of the Luhansk OVA, a new offensive by Russia may happen any day after February 15.
They called the GUR three possible directions of a possible Russian offensive and warned that Ukraine is in on the eve of a very active phase at the front.
Polish General Waldemar Skrzypczak also suggested that Russia may attack Ukraine from the direction of Voronezh, Kursk, Bryansk, move from there in the south direction, west of Kharkiv. Under this scenario, Poltava and Dnipro are under attack.
Instead, military expert Oleg Zhdanov reassured that the probability that the offensive of Russian troops will reach the city of Dnipro is equal to 0.01%.
TSN.ua collected the key ones official statements and opinions of experts regarding the terms and scenarios of a possible Russian offensive.